Dollar

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Struggles Near 99.10 as Tariff Risks and Jobs Data Pressure Market


Daily EUR/USD

Support for the euro surged in early March after Germany’s political leadership signaled a major fiscal expansion — a significant departure from its long-standing austerity stance.

This move revived optimism around eurozone growth and shifted capital away from the dollar. While the euro eased 0.38% to $1.1379 on Tuesday, it remains on course for its strongest monthly performance in over two years.

Safe-Haven Demand and Tariff Volatility

The dollar has also contended with a stronger yen and Swiss franc as investors rotated into safer currencies in response to geopolitical stress, particularly renewed U.S.-China tariff tensions. Although the Trump administration hinted at easing automotive tariffs, conflicting rhetoric has kept risk sentiment unstable.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s remarks that de-escalation depends on China underscore the uncertainty clouding progress. Analysts continue to flag that global bond and equity outflows from the U.S. indicate a “buyers’ strike” on dollar-denominated assets, despite a modest recovery in prices.

Labor Market Softening Despite Lower Layoffs

Labor data released Tuesday revealed a mixed picture. Job openings fell by 288,000 to 7.192 million in March, signaling growing employer caution.



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